Europe’s Heat Wave, Fueled by Climate Change, Moves to Greenland
last week much more likely and hotter, researchers said Friday. The heat wave, the second to hit Europe since late June, in Paris, as well as in Germany, the Netherlands and other countries. Nuclear reactors in France and Germany or shut down because the water used to cool them was too warm. The hot air, which was trapped over Europe after traveling from northern Africa, lingered for about four days. It has since moved north over Greenland, causing the surface of the islands vast ice sheet to melt at near-record levels. , a group that conducts rapid analyses of weather events to see if they are influenced by , said that for France and the Netherlands, the four days of extreme heat last week were a rare event even for a warming world. But it said climate change had made the heat wave at least 10 times more likely. In Germany, the heat wave was at least eight times more likely because of climate change, the group found, and in Britain, where the heat did not linger as long, it was at least two times more likely. Looked at another way, the researchers said, the heat wave was hotter by about 2.5 to 5 degrees Fahrenheit, because of climate change. European summer heat waves are absolutely one of the hot spots of climate change, said Friederike Otto, a member of the group and a climate researcher at the University of Oxford in England. Weve had two of these this summer alone, and the summer is only halfway through. We also had a massive . , with researchers in Britain, France, the Netherlands and elsewhere, uses computer simulations of the climate as it is now and as it would be if human activity had not pumped hundreds of billions of tons of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. The groups goal is to bring legitimate scientific analysis to the public quickly after an event to help counter any potential misinformation. The group said that every European heat wave that has been analyzed, dating back to 2003 and including the earlier one this summer, had been found to have been influenced by climate change, although the degree of impact has varied depending on location, intensity and other factors. While they have analyzed other weather events, including floods, droughts, cold spells and extreme rainfall, Dr. Otto said, European heat waves have shown the greatest climate change influence. With the hot air moving north this week, Greenland was experiencing its own version of a heat wave. On the southwestern coast, Nuuk, the capital, reported temperatures in the high 50s Fahrenheit, about 10 degrees higher than average for this time of year (55 Fahrenheit is the equivalent of roughly 13 Celsius). The warmth increased the surface melting of Greenlands vast ice sheet, which covers about 80 percent of the island. Analysis of satellite data by the in Boulder, Colo., showed that melting on Wednesday extended across 380,000 square miles, or about 60 percent of the total ice area. That is about four times the median extent for the end of July over the past four decades. But while the extent of melting has been higher than average this year including a day in June that set an it is less than the record , when warm temperatures persisted for much of the summer and at one point nearly 100 percent of the ice sheet was melting. Greenlands ice sheet is nearly two miles thick in places, and if all of it were to melt, global sea levels would rise about 24 feet. Melting has increased in recent decades because of climate change and has been outstripping accumulation from snow, resulting in a net loss of ice. Estimates vary, but a found that the ice sheet has been losing an average of nearly 300 billion tons of ice per year this decade, contributing a total of about one-quarter of an inch to global sea level rise over that time. For more news on climate and the environment, follow on Twitter. specializes in the science of climate change and its impacts. He has been writing about science for The Times for more than 20 years and has traveled to the Arctic and Antarctica.